Wednesday, September 2, 2020

COVID-19 Has Taught Us that Conventional Risk Management is Obsolete. Here’s Why.


 Photo courtesy of Pexels, for illustration purposes only

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemic has indeed shocked the world and are putting many business in a fragile state in being able to sustain in the long term. COVID-19 as the current biggest threats to organisations regardless of their industry and locations, has pressured businesses to reevaluate their priorities and business strategies to strive in the already challenging world but companies has taken a step back to assess whether its current risk management process is robust enough for the business impact from COVID-19 or other external risks.

 

The Rise of Environmental, Social and Governance Risks

The World Economic Forum in one of its recent reports has shared that the biggest risks businesses will face in the next year (up to 18 months) is the prolonged recession of the global economy.  Organisations should be aware that external risks, including the Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) risks are categorised beyond the fallout of the pandemic; economic risks, societal risks, technological risks and environmental risks and should raise concerns amongst businesses.

Organisations by now should have already looked at the approaches to feasibly integrate ESG risks into its business risk management. Just like the business threats imposed from COVID-19, these ESG risks are not expressed using financial metrics. But as from what has been vivid from the pandemic, they certainly pose great financial implications. Climate change has been under the focus of many businesses nowadays as not only it has gained tractions from regulators, but it has caused social unrest and physical disasters or transition and physical risks to organisations. This also has caused the risk landscape to be changing, and changing drastically. The rise in not only economic, but health, social and environmental crises we all are facing today could only mean that organisations must reevaluate the corporate strategy, reframe their business future ambition and revamp the risk management framework as a whole.

 

New Approach to Risk Management

It has taken the detrimental effect of COVID-19 to coerced organisations’ Board directors and managements to scrutinise external risks (including ESG risks) as the core subject, and relook at the areas lacking in management and monitoring of external risks.  

Just weeks before the pandemic, the result from a survey of 500 Board directors and Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) found that only around one-fifth of Board directors were “very satisfied” with their effectiveness in overseeing changes to the risk landscape and resulted in adjustment in organisations’ risk appetite accordingly. This is also the same ratio that represents that Board directors were “extremely confident” in risk reporting from management on a range of significant issues.

These findings signifies the point that conventional risk management processes should change and improve, and companies are paying attention. The World Economic Forum also provides insights from a published paper on integrated governance that noted the necessity for businesses to also improve in stakeholder engagement in order to manage risk strategically.

One of the six recommendations is to internalize material ESG & Data factors in enterprise risk management and Boards must gain more in-depth understanding of rapidly evolving environmental, social, governance and data stewardship risks.

Recently, COSO launched a report that focuses on the integral components of the Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) framework, the Risk Appetite Framework. The report by COSO highlights the approach on transform business ‘to anticipate and understand their risk when change happens and to better embrace change and be more agile in challenging conditions’.

This is mainly because in complete absence of a good governance of risk management of both from the internal and external stakeholders’ perspective, organisations will not have the necessary resources and capacity to set up a robust external risk management processes. This will also come hand in hand with the fallout from the lack of trust with organisations’ stakeholders. External or ESG risks management do not only require organisations to look at how they can protect shareholder interest but it’s about being prepared and responsive to the societal and environmental needs as a whole.

 

The Limitations of Conventional Risk Management

The survey by EY global risk also shows that close to 80% of Board directors indicates that organisations are unprepared for significant events such as the COVID-19 pandemic. This is probably due to the lack of governance practiced in conventional risk management as only 40% of Board directors and management explained that ERM are effective in managing atypical and emerging risks.

This is contributed due to data management and analysis. We have now seen that the majority of the current risk management processes have become obsolete and are not built to manage the abundance of critical data generated. Without efficient data management and analysis, the typical risk management process may not succeed in extracting meaningful insights and apply the necessary steps to gain the value and benefits from data analysis.

50% of financial leaders concur to the statement that they spend more time gathering and processing data than they do analysing it, yet alone the decision-making process based on through risk data analysis.

Apart from good corporate governance practices, the Board directors have imperative roles in ensuring risk management practices in organisations run efficiently. The power of data should not be overlooked. Obtaining and most importantly, utilising a continuous stream of valuable and latest data and information is paramount in order to gain buy-in at the Board level. Evaluations and understanding of emerging trends, and prioritising the needs and demands of stakeholders are key considerations to ensure organisations to improve in the overall risk management processes and improve the organisations’ performance. Thus, it is absolutely essential for Boards directors to have the support via data analysis to gain the awareness and insights of the impacts of poor external and ESG risk management on the business.

 

Technology is the Solution

The current business environment requires organisations to meet stakeholder demands and expectations. The question is; Do organisations have enough resources and capabilities to meet the demands and expectations? One of the pressing matters to get internal management’s buy-in is the investment in technology. Organisations cannot be both timely and accurate in producing information from data analysis without the very latest technology. Organisations need a defensible, technology-driven process to back that up and to monitor the risk landscape as it evolves.

The business world we are in today are exposed to complex external risk environment that make organisations vulnerable to broader, complicated and often indirect risks that are very challenging to manage and monitor. As mentioned earlier, effective risk management presses organisations to be focus on data-driven approaches that allow organisations to mitigate the external landscape and focus on the risks that are the most material. These insights will provide with strategic considerations to enable a more dynamic business decision making.

Organisations should start to reinforce risk governance and internal controls and these need to be aligned with the areas that are deemed critical to be improved and transformed. Together with adoption of sophisticated technology software and infrastructure, organisations will possess the systems in place to utilise extensive range of data into something useful and viable information to develop business strategies and profitable business making processes, where and when it matter most.

If we revise the impact of the pandemic, organisations should have already anticipated the drastic response from regulators, governments, peers and wider society. According to Datamaran that tracked regulatory and corporate responses to pandemic more broadly by applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) to analyse the COVID-19 specific responses in real-time, the access to information are more accurate and obtained faster that are imperative for data analysis to give the edge to strive during and post COVID-19 crisis.

AI does not only save laborious time for data consolidation, but it is extremely useful for consistent monitoring. This would be beneficial in order for organisations to identify, structure and prioritise specific risks that are the most impactful to them during a specific period of time. With this, organisations will always be flexible and responsive to any external risks impacting them.

 

Communication on Data-driven Approach in Risk Management Processes

Responding to risks is the defensive approach for companies to be resilient. Proactive approach can be taken with embracing data-driven strategies for other external risks that at the moment are unclear, undetermined and uncertain. Leveraging on data with the right systems and technologies should facilitate organisations to be ready when these external risks emerge and impacting the business and the stakeholders within the operational boundaries and value chain.

Organisations’ plans should not be based on subjective judgements. Acknowledging that risk management is core to organisations, investment in resources and capacity needs are crucial to ensure overall business operations are robust and responsive. Organsations should also focus on communicating the outcome of data-driven approach are being taken to its stakeholders. Organisations should provide more information in the content of the annual reports, that include the risk factors and the forward-looking statements (should) be based on and rely on the risk analysis realised through the risk management framework and corresponding processes. Organisations are also encouraged to express how the Board directors and management determine the risk level organisations are ready to accept that are based on data-driven approach (Risk Appetite Framework). Stakeholders that are made aware of when data feeds into organisations’ decision making, will be assured that the overall business’ risk management processes are more robust, thereby increasing confidence in the organisations. 

 

Conclusion

As we look past lockdown to the rest of 2020 and beyond, robust external and ESG risk management is going to be increasingly vital for building resilient businesses and improving the trust of their stakeholders. Organisations should place the right governance and strategies to ensure data-driven approach are integrated into the current risk management processes to ensure responsiveness to the challenging risks to the business.

 

All views and opinions expressed on this site are by the author and do not represent any particular entity or organisation 

 

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